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Will rents recover more slowly than sales?

Written by: Maryanne Bowring 29/09/2020
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Introduction: The Post-Lockdown Lettings Market

Following the spring lockdown, the lettings market began to recover after a period of inactivity. However, research from Hamptons International indicates that rentals are rebounding more slowly compared to the sales market.

Sales Market vs. Rental Market Recovery

While the sales market continues to perform well, the rental market is experiencing a slower, U-shaped recovery rather than the anticipated V-shaped rebound.

Factors Affecting the Rental Market

The number of first-time buyers has increased, partly due to the Chancellor’s stamp duty holiday. However, job insecurity among young people has led to delays in renting, and landlords' reluctance to invest has contributed to a reduced supply of rental homes.

Rental Market Forecast: A Challenging Outlook

Rental growth is expected to lag behind house price inflation, with rents predicted to fall in 2020 and 2021. In London, rents are expected to drop by 3% this year and 1% in 2021, raising concerns for landlords managing financial obligations.

Key Factors Influencing Market Stability

The rental market’s recovery will depend on economic factors such as employment rates and wage growth. Until tenant earnings improve and job losses stabilize, rental prices are likely to remain under pressure.

Future Prospects and Landlord Considerations

There is hope that the market will stabilize by late 2021. However, much depends on easing travel restrictions and vaccine distribution. In the meantime, landlords must carefully evaluate the viability of their rental properties.



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